Financial Indexes
Stocks and bonds aren't the sort of thing the novice investor
typically thinks of as a commodity. Even less do they view a
statistical measurement of changes in their prices as similar to
gold, wheat or oil. Yet, because stocks and bonds (and the indexes
that measure price changes) trade in the form of futures and
options contracts, they can be traded in the same way as other
commodities.
While oil remains the most traded physical commodity, the
financial futures market today is the largest for all contracts
traded. One of the most popular is the contract for the
Standard and Poor's 500 Index, the S&P
500.
As the, so to speak, gold standard of indexes the S&P gives
traders a broad view of the stock market as a whole. The companies
contained in the S&P 500 represent 80% of the entire market
capitalization - the top 40 stocks in the S&P 500 represent 50%
of its total.
That means traders can be confident that there will be no
liquidity problems, as sometimes happens with some other
commodities.
It also means risk is easier to assess. The tools available to
measure and predict the S&P 500 are more reliable, since
predicting stock prices is much easier than that of commodities.
Easier, but definitely not easy. Just as one example, the stocks in
the S&P 500 have reliably offered the highest return over a 30
year period of any investment, around 12% depending on the range
selected.
Stock prices can definitely be volatile, and large single-day
price drops have happened several times. But indexes typically, by
design, move less far and less rapidly than other prices. The idea
of using a broad based index is precisely to smooth out the bumps
of individual stocks, in order to assess the direction of the
market as a whole.
Yet, along with reduced risk and better predictability, traders
still enjoy the other advantages attendant on using futures and
options as trading vehicles. Margin percentages are in the 5-7%
range, so high leverage is still available, as it is with other
commodities futures and options contracts.
Commodities trading is often very
short-term oriented, with day
trading the norm. Yet with index trading,
investors can take advantage of those
sharp swings, yet still take a long-term horizon
view, as they would with ordinary stock investing.
For example, one common trading strategy is the 'rollover'. This
technique allows traders to take a long position on a futures
contract, then - as expiration nears - transfer the position to
another contract with an expiration date farther out into the
future.
This 'spread' strategy makes it possible to take advantage of
price differentials and low commissions, while controlling the
liquidation date. It's executed when traders predict that prices
will soon move in the preferred direction, where 'soon' is just
beyond the expiration date.
S&P Index futures are traded on the
CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange), and there's
even an S&P 500 'E-mini' contract available, which carries a
smaller commitment - one-fifth the standard contract. The trade
unit is $50 time the S&P 500 Index. The trade unit for the
standard contract is $250 times the S&P 500. In addition, since
it trades all electronically, with no open outcry or pit trading,
trading hours are almost around the clock.
For current prices and contract specifics, see the CME website
at http://www.cme.com/.
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