Financial Indexes
Stocks and bonds aren't the sort of thing the novice
investor typically thinks of as a commodity. Even less do they
view a statistical measurement of changes in their prices as
similar to gold, wheat or oil. Yet, because stocks and bonds
(and the indexes that measure price changes) trade in the form
of futures and options contracts, they can be traded in the
same way as other commodities.
While oil remains the most traded physical commodity, the
financial futures market today is the largest for all contracts
traded. One of the most popular is the contract for the
Standard and Poor's 500 Index, the
S&P 500.
As the, so to speak, gold standard of indexes the S&P
gives traders a broad view of the stock market as a whole. The
companies contained in the S&P 500 represent 80% of the
entire market capitalization - the top 40 stocks in the S&P
500 represent 50% of its total.
That means traders can be confident that there will be no
liquidity problems, as sometimes happens with some other
commodities.
It also means risk is easier to assess. The tools available
to measure and predict the S&P 500 are more reliable, since
predicting stock prices is much easier than that of
commodities. Easier, but definitely not easy. Just as one
example, the stocks in the S&P 500 have reliably offered
the highest return over a 30 year period of any investment,
around 12% depending on the range selected.
Stock prices can definitely be volatile, and large
single-day price drops have happened several times. But indexes
typically, by design, move less far and less rapidly than other
prices. The idea of using a broad based index is precisely to
smooth out the bumps of individual stocks, in order to assess
the direction of the market as a whole.
Yet, along with reduced risk and better predictability,
traders still enjoy the other advantages attendant on using
futures and options as trading vehicles. Margin percentages are
in the 5-7% range, so high leverage is still available, as it
is with other commodities futures and options contracts.
Commodities trading is often very
short-term oriented, with day
trading the norm. Yet with index
trading, investors can take advantage
of those sharp swings, yet still take a
long-term horizon view, as they would with ordinary stock
investing.
For example, one common trading strategy is the 'rollover'.
This technique allows traders to take a long position on a
futures contract, then - as expiration nears - transfer the
position to another contract with an expiration date farther
out into the future.
This 'spread' strategy makes it possible to take advantage
of price differentials and low commissions, while controlling
the liquidation date. It's executed when traders predict that
prices will soon move in the preferred direction, where 'soon'
is just beyond the expiration date.
S&P Index futures are traded on the
CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange), and there's
even an S&P 500 'E-mini' contract available, which carries
a smaller commitment - one-fifth the standard contract. The
trade unit is $50 time the S&P 500 Index. The trade unit
for the standard contract is $250 times the S&P 500. In
addition, since it trades all electronically, with no open
outcry or pit trading, trading hours are almost around the
clock.
For current prices and contract specifics, see the CME
website at http://www.cme.com/.
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