Trading Soybeans
Soybeans
Commodities are excellent to trade to a commodities
trader. Yet this grain is among the lowest risk, most potentially
profitable trades around.
Soybeans were first cultivated in China thousands of years ago,
and they continue to be grown there. First arriving in America in
the 1800s - they were used to stabilize clipper ships - their use
as a food additive has only grown as technology has advanced. When
the crops in China were heavily damaged in WWII, the U.S. became
one of the largest suppliers.
Thirty-one states in the U.S. now grow soybeans, with Iowa
producing over 400 million bushels and Illinois over 500
million.
But the U.S. and Asia now have another major competitor: Brazil.
Though suffering from reduced supply the last two years, owing to a
long drought, crop yields are recovering and are expected to reach
record levels in 2007. Soybeans now rival coffee (along with sugar)
as one of Brazil's major exports. In the 2004/5 year, Brazil
exported over 20 thousand metric tons of soybeans, two-thirds the
U.S. total.
At the same time, demand remains strong. American livestock -
cattle, chickens and pigs - alone consume over 25 million tons of
soybean meal per year. But it's also used in the preparation of
dozens of human food products.
That demand is expected to rise, owing to a number of factors
that are not likely to be reversed in the foreseeable future.
Population levels throughout most of the world continue to rise.
The U.S. population is almost 300 million and still rising. The
world population is over 6.5 billion and though the rate of
increase is slowing, the level is expected to continue to increase
for several decades at least.
Soybeans represent a low-cost food additive that is used the
world over that can feed that growing population.
Research and development on agricultural yields is continuing to
advance. About 1.4 billion hectares were used for cultivation
worldwide in 1961. By 1998, less than 40 years later, 1.5 billion
hectares were used to grow twice the amount of grain. That's a
substantial productivity gain and the advances are just
beginning.
Within the last few decades genetics research has improved and
scientists now regularly offer implementable genetic techniques to
resist disease. By 2005, genetically modified crop production of
herbicide-tolerant crops expanded to 87% of soybean production.
That figures was only 63% just two years earlier.
Soybean rust continues to be a problem, but there is good reason
to believe this can be eliminated in the coming years.
And food isn't the only thing soybeans are used for. Most
biodiesel fuel in the U.S. is produced from soybeans, where in
Europe canola is used. Corn is used to make ethanol. With rising
gasoline prices, pressure continues to encourage converting some
vehicles (such as farm equipment) to diesel.
Soybean futures contracts are traded on the CBOT (Chicago Board
of Exchange) with the standard contract covering 5,000 bushels. The
tick (minimum price fluctuation) is 1/4 cent per bushel, with a
maximum price swing per day of 50 cents per bushel above or below
the previous day's settlement price.
Investors interested in trading commodities should look into
soybeans. Sometimes the plain girl next door is as sexy as any
gold-covered Hollywood starlet.
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