Trading on Margin
Suppose you've been reading the newspaper lately and seen the
substantial rise in inflation over the last two years. You bet,
along with many others, that this trend is likely to continue for
the next two years. You decide to hedge your portfolio, and
possibly pick up some profits, by investing in gold.
Unfortunately, you don't have $58,000 to purchase 100 Troy
ounces of gold at the current market price of $580. Instead you do
what most speculators do, you buy a gold futures contract. Now
instead of having to come up with $58,000 you only have to invest
an initial amount of $2,900, 5% of the total.
That 5% is known as the (initial) margin. The
exact percentages are set by the exchanges and brokerage firms on a
daily basis, per individual commodities futures contracts.
Exchanges monitor prices, volatility and many other factors to
determine acceptable levels of risk and then set the margins
accordingly. Minimums are set by the exchange, but brokerages will
sometimes have slightly higher requirements.
Now suppose the price of gold rises by $5 before the expiration
of the contract. Excellent. You've made $5 per ounce x 100 ounces =
$500 (excluding commissions, around $20). If you had purchased the
gold outright you would have made the exact same amount of profit.
But look at the difference between outright purchase and a futures
contract in percentage terms.
$500/$58000 x 100% = 0.86%, slightly less than 1%. On the other
hand, $500/$2900 x 100% = 17.2%. That difference is the effect of
something known as leverage. You invested only 5% of the total
purchase price, but you still get 100% (ignoring commission) of the
profits, not 5% of the profits.
But with the possibilty of reward comes the risk of loss. If the
price had decreased $5 and never rose again before the contract
expired, the result would have been a $500 loss instead. In order
to protect themselves against the possibility that you won't be
able to cover the amount at expiration, brokers may issue something
known as a 'margin call'.
All potential profits and losses are calculated and settled on a
daily basis. If the price drops below the minimum set by the broker
(based on the exchange minimum), brokers will require their clients
to deposit additional funds to bring the account back up to the
level of the initial amount.
Here's the kicker. They may or may not give you adequate notice
and time to actually do that. Depending on the level of price
volatility, the amount involved, and your relationship with them,
brokers can (and sometimes do) liquidate your position without
waiting for you.
Under normal circumstances, most brokers will give you notice
and reasonable time to meet this 'maintenance margin', the amount
required to bring your account up to the required level. But it's
the trader's responsibility to monitor his or her positions and
know the guidelines.
Beyond bringing the account up to the previous level, it's
possible you may have to come up with an even larger amount.
Exchanges and/or brokers can and do raise (or lower) the minimums
depending on current market conditions.
Futures trading, particularly in the
fast-paced, high risk world of commodities, isn't for everyone. A
high tolerance for risk and the ability to input additional funds
is necessary, along with the ability to withstand the losses.
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