Trading on Margin
Suppose you've been reading the newspaper lately and seen
the substantial rise in inflation over the last two years. You
bet, along with many others, that this trend is likely to
continue for the next two years. You decide to hedge your
portfolio, and possibly pick up some profits, by investing in
gold.
Unfortunately, you don't have $58,000 to purchase 100 Troy
ounces of gold at the current market price of $580. Instead you
do what most speculators do, you buy a gold futures contract.
Now instead of having to come up with $58,000 you only have to
invest an initial amount of $2,900, 5% of the total.
That 5% is known as the (initial) margin.
The exact percentages are set by the exchanges and brokerage
firms on a daily basis, per individual commodities futures
contracts. Exchanges monitor prices, volatility and many other
factors to determine acceptable levels of risk and then set the
margins accordingly. Minimums are set by the exchange, but
brokerages will sometimes have slightly higher
requirements.
Now suppose the price of gold rises by $5 before the
expiration of the contract. Excellent. You've made $5 per ounce
x 100 ounces = $500 (excluding commissions, around $20). If you
had purchased the gold outright you would have made the exact
same amount of profit. But look at the difference between
outright purchase and a futures contract in percentage
terms.
$500/$58000 x 100% = 0.86%, slightly less than 1%. On the
other hand, $500/$2900 x 100% = 17.2%. That difference is the
effect of something known as leverage. You invested only 5% of
the total purchase price, but you still get 100% (ignoring
commission) of the profits, not 5% of the profits.
But with the possibilty of reward comes the risk of loss. If
the price had decreased $5 and never rose again before the
contract expired, the result would have been a $500 loss
instead. In order to protect themselves against the possibility
that you won't be able to cover the amount at expiration,
brokers may issue something known as a 'margin call'.
All potential profits and losses are calculated and settled
on a daily basis. If the price drops below the minimum set by
the broker (based on the exchange minimum), brokers will
require their clients to deposit additional funds to bring the
account back up to the level of the initial amount.
Here's the kicker. They may or may not give you adequate
notice and time to actually do that. Depending on the level of
price volatility, the amount involved, and your relationship
with them, brokers can (and sometimes do) liquidate your
position without waiting for you.
Under normal circumstances, most brokers will give you
notice and reasonable time to meet this 'maintenance margin',
the amount required to bring your account up to the required
level. But it's the trader's responsibility to monitor his or
her positions and know the guidelines.
Beyond bringing the account up to the previous level, it's
possible you may have to come up with an even larger amount.
Exchanges and/or brokers can and do raise (or lower) the
minimums depending on current market conditions.
Futures trading, particularly in the
fast-paced, high risk world of commodities, isn't for everyone.
A high tolerance for risk and the ability to input additional
funds is necessary, along with the ability to withstand the
losses.
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